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DV-2026 Lottery Results: Analysis of Selection Rates by Region

Selection data from the DV-2026 cycle reveals shifting regional patterns, with Africa continuing to dominate allocations and overall entry volume climbing 8% year over year.

By James Thornton·June 18, 2025·10 min
Chief Immigration CorrespondentEdited by Policy Desk
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DV-2026 Lottery Results: Analysis of Selection Rates by Region

DV-2026 Lottery Results: Analysis of Selection Rates by Region. (The US Visa News)

Key Takeaways

  • Overall Selection Statistics — analysis below
  • Regional Breakdown — analysis below
  • Trends Over Time — analysis below
  • Implications for DV-2027 — analysis below

Fully released DV-2026 Diversity Visa Lottery selection data offers valuable insights into the evolving dynamics of this critical immigration pathway. Our analysis reveals both expected patterns and notable surprises.

Overall Selection Statistics

Approximately 120,000 applicants were selected from a pool of over 22 million qualified entries, representing a selection rate of roughly 0.55%. This overselection relative to the 55,000 available visas accounts for the historical completion rate, as not all selectees will ultimately receive visas.

Regional Breakdown

Africa

The African region continued to receive the largest share of selections, consistent with the statutory allocation formula. Countries such as Egypt, Ethiopia, and the Democratic Republic of Congo showed particularly high selection numbers.

Europe

European selections remained robust, with notable numbers from Uzbekistan, Ukraine, and Turkey. The ongoing geopolitical situation in Eastern Europe has contributed to increased interest in the program.

Policy Advisory: Due to the complexity of current dv lottery regulations, official policy analysts are providing limited eligibility assessments for qualified applicants.

Begin Formal Assessment

Asia

Asian selections showed modest growth, with Nepal, Iran, and Bangladesh among the top-represented countries in the region.

Trends Over Time

Comparing DV-2026 data with previous years reveals several trends:

  • Total entries have grown by approximately 8% annually over the past three cycles
  • African representation has gradually increased its share of total selections
  • Several previously ineligible countries have returned to the eligible list due to shifting immigration patterns

Implications for DV-2027

Prospective DV-2027 applicants should be aware that eligibility lists may change based on updated immigration data. The State Department typically publishes the list of eligible countries several weeks before the registration period opens.

Historical data suggests that persistence pays off — many successful DV visa recipients report applying multiple times before being selected.

Policy Accuracy DisclaimerThis article reflects policy conditions as of the publication date. Immigration law is subject to change. Verify all information with official sources and consult a qualified attorney before acting.
JT

About the Author

James Thornton

Chief Immigration Correspondent

Chief Immigration Correspondent and former foreign service officer with the U.S. Department of State. Firsthand consular experience in Diversity Visa processing. M.A. International Relations, Johns Hopkins SAIS.